Michigan Law prof Ellen Katz calls it "consequential" in her commentary at SCOTUSblog. From her post:
Shelby County’s greatest import may lie in this supposition –
namely, the majority’s belief that the validity of the coverage formula
requires that those subject to preclearance currently engage in the sort
of defiant obstructionism that made the VRA necessary in the first
instance.
But specific acts traceable to public officials openly bent on
denying norms of equality capture but a portion of the ways racial
discrimination operates today. Put differently, the conditions that made
preclearance necessary in the first instance have shaped the modern
landscape in ways that create distinct opportunities for more subtle
forms of discrimination, including intentional discrimination, to
thrive. Many or even most public officials may act without ill will,
but still intentional discrimination from some and the implicit biases
of many may generate substantial obstacles for minority voters in the
political process. Today’s decision makes clear that such obstacles are
insufficient to justify the coverage formula and an operational
preclearance regime.
Former Michigan Law prof Rick Pildes, now at NYU School of Law, has called some pre-opinion reactions to Shelby "hyperbolic." In a SCOTUSblog post yesterday he describes the deep divisions about what the Voting Rights Act symbolizes:
To those who will be distraught, outraged, or fearful, the essential
question at stake in the Court’s decision – and in the continuing
vitality of Section 4 — is whether we believe racial discrimination in
voting still exists in the South. The question being framed this way,
the Court’s decision today will appear to be, at best, a denial of
reality and a reflection of a naïve “post-racial” view that in the Obama
era, racial discrimination in voting has ended. Justice Sotomayor, at
oral argument, perfectly reflected this perspective on what the
decision represents when she posed this pointed question to the VRA’s
challengers: “Do you think that racial discrimination in voting has
ended, that there is none anywhere?” The answer to that question
must be no. From this vantage point, then, as long as racial
discrimination in voting still does take place at all in the South,
Section 4 of the VRA – the part the Court invalidated – remains not just
justifiable, but essential.
In addition, to many people, the VRA symbolizes protection of the
crown jewel of rights, the right of access to the ballot box. For
those who know the history, this right was born from the blood and the
bodies of all those who had been given the last full measure of their
devotion to secure full access for all to the ballot box – those beaten
on the bridge from Selma, Alabama in 1965, the three civil rights
workers lynched in the Mississippi summer of 1964, and many others. How
can the Court find unconstitutional an Act that plays any role at all
in ensuring political equality regarding this most sacred right? And
why should the Court second-guess Congress on these issues?
Yet to others, including the Court’s pivotal actor, Justice Kennedy,
the essential question at stake is whether our political system is
frozen in place on issues concerning race. Do our political
institutions and culture have the capacity to recognize that dramatic
changes at the intersection of race and voting have taken place over
recent decades? Section 4 was created in 1965 as a short-term measure
for five years; in initially upholding that system, the Court called it
“an uncommon exercise of congressional power” justified by the
“exceptional circumstances” of the massive disfranchisement of black
voters (and many poor whites) that existed when the VRA was enacted. In
1970, Congress extended this system for another five years; in 1975,
for another eight; and in 1982, for twenty-five more years. Then, in
2006, in the provision the Court struck down, Congress re-authorized
this system for another twenty-five years, until 2031. Thus we moved
from a five-year regime in 1965 for exceptional circumstances to a
sixty-six-year regime that continues to single out nine states (and
fifty-three other counties) for unique federal control.
Pildes concludes that President Obama is uniquely situated to "cut through these
radically irreconcilable meanings of the Court’s decision and lead
forward on these explosive issues."